Today really is the day that the Supreme Court will issue rulings for this term. That’s according to SCOTUSblog, and they are the oracle.
Decisions are released at 10:00 a.m. Eastern, which means by 10:30 or so we should know the fate of DOMA and Prop 8, at least in the way the Court rules.
I don’t want to plow the row again, but in the last week or so I’ve become cautiously optimistic that the Court will, by a narrow margin, strike down DOMA — or at least parts of it — and uphold the lower court rulings on Prop 8, which will lead to the reinstatement of marriage equality in California. I don’t think they will go so far as to declare marriage equality the law of the land as they did with Roe v. Wade. This court leans in the direction of states’ rights when it comes to giving consideration to minorities. That, and the simple fact that they lack the courage to do anything that might be seen as judicial activism.
I’m also basing this speculation on the fact that the Court is holding out these rulings until the last minute. It’s a thin reed, but it’s all I’ve got for now. Here’s hoping.
(Blogging note: Since I can’t blog from the office but this ruling demands immediate attention, I will somehow find a way to post a response at the time and then follow up later.)