Saturday, August 7, 2004

The Numbers Game

The blogosphere – at least the liberal side of it – has contended that every time Bush’s poll numbers drop we get another terror alert, which leads to a boost in Bush’s poll numbers. JuliusBlog has put together a chart showing that on paper it looks like that’s true.

JuliusBlog is careful to couch his conclusion in the caveat that not all terror alerts are politically motivated. But quite a few of them have been rushed onto the media with the breathlessness of a CNN Breaking News alert only to be discredited later. And that’s the problem – how are we to know which is which; a legit terror alert vs. Kerry’s numbers going up in Ohio?