Friday, October 28, 2005

Who Knows?

Rumors are everywhere about the outcome of the Plame leak investigation. Sources tell the New York Times that Scooter Libby will be indicted, Karl Rove won’t be, but he remains under investigation.

Lawyers in the C.I.A. leak case said Thursday that they expected I. Lewis Libby Jr., Vice President Dick Cheney’s chief of staff, to be indicted on Friday, charged with making false statements to the grand jury.

Karl Rove, President Bush’s senior adviser and deputy chief of staff, will not be charged on Friday, but will remain under investigation, people briefed officially about the case said. As a result, they said, the special counsel in the case, Patrick J. Fitzgerald, was likely to extend the term of the federal grand jury beyond its scheduled expiration on Friday.

The Wall Street Journal (HT to TPM) is saying pretty much the same thing.

Karl Rove, President Bush’s chief political adviser and deputy White House chief of staff, was informed yesterday evening that he may not be charged today but remains in legal jeopardy, according to a person briefed on the matter. Mr. Fitzgerald, who meets with jurors this morning, has zeroed in on potential wrongdoing by I. Lewis Libby, Vice President Dick Cheney’s chief of staff, and is likely to charge Mr. Libby at least with making false statements. The testimony of reporters who have been witnesses in the case has contradicted Mr. Libby’s public statements.

Mr. Fitzgerald appeared still to be pondering whether to charge Mr. Rove and has notified the political strategist that he remains under investigation.

Frankly, I’d guess that Mr. Rove is bearing a tad of envy for Mr. Libby; having the indictment in hand means you can put your plan in action and start hitting up all the Bush Pioneers for dough for the legal defense fund. Karl would still be twisting slowly in the wind.

But this is all speculation. Until Mr. Fitzgerald actually appears before the court or the press, your guess is as good as mine.