Saturday, May 1, 2010

100 Seats

House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) went way out on the limb yesterday in an interview on NPR: he said the Republicans could win really big in November.

When pressed for a number, Boehner said he believed the GOP could win as many as 100 seats in this fall’s elections.” At least 100 seats,” Boehner said when asked how wide the playing field for districts is. “I do,” the top House Republican answered when asked if he thinks there are 100 seats in the U.S. “that could change hands.”

As Zandar at No More Mister Nice Blog reminds us, the worst drubbing the Democrats took in recent history was 1994 and they only lost a little over 50 seats, and Newt Gingrich and his cronies pronounced the establishment of the Permanent Republican Majority. By any measure, the odds of the GOP winning back the House are long, especially if the economy continues to improve and the Republicans continue to tear themselves apart over issues like immigration and teabags.

So Mr. Boehner is taking a hell of a shot by his prognostication, and he’s making himself quite the target: if the Republicans only win 50, we’ll remind him that the GOP fell woefully short of his prediction… and he will deny he ever said it.

By all appearances, Mr. Boehner has been out in the sun too long.