Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Reasons To Hope

Supporters of Obamacare were understandably concerned when the Supreme Court announced that it would review a challenge to the law this term.  The law has already been through one round with the Court, winning in 2012 by one vote, and now the opponents hope to gut it to the bone in this go-round.

Brian Beutler has come up with eight reasons why he believes the justices will not overturn the law, ranging from the legal — the case against it is weak — to the political.  He makes a good case on all eight points, including the fact that while the Court is supposed to be above politics (yeah, right), Chief Justice Roberts and the conservatives on the bench know that killing the law would infuriate private insurers, hospitals, and make the world miserable for Republicans who would have to face the millions of voters who suddenly find themselves either without insurance or unable to afford it.

As Finley Peter Dunne (1867-1936) — in the person of Mr. Dooley — noted in 1900, “No matter whether th’ Constitution follows th’ flag or not, the Supreme Coort follows th’ iliction returns.”

One bark on “Reasons To Hope

  1. Chief Justice Roberts and the conservatives on the bench know that killing the law would… make the world miserable for Republicans who would have to face the millions of voters who suddenly find themselves either without insurance or unable to afford it.

    They may actually be counting on this eventuality, as a cudgel against those IslamoFascoSoshulist Dems. Remember that GOTea policies are incredibly unpopular – yet the GOTea itself polls consistently as more capable of enacting sound policy (this despite their platform which says nearly the exact opposite). I’m inclined to believe SCOTUS will see the blind rage from core GOTea constituencies who are suddenly faced with Big Gubmint benefits getting suddenly yanked away as feature-not-bug material, especially for the state-level contests where state exchanges are hot issues.

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